Advances in Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction and Its Applications (3rd Edition)

A special issue of Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433). This special issue belongs to the section "Meteorology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 March 2024) | Viewed by 1700

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, 19013 Athens, Greece
Interests: numerical weather prediction; model evaluation; operational meteorology and hydrometeorology; water and energy cycle; land/sea–air interactions; flash floods; coupling numerical models
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, 19013 Athens, Greece
Interests: numerical weather prediction; synoptic and dynamic meteorology; boundary layer; hydrometeorological modelling; extreme weather events; flash floods; coupling numerical models; land/sea-air interaction
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The two first volumes of our Special Issue “Advances in Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction and its Applications” were quite successful and became popular not only among authors but also among our readers. Therefore, we have decided to launch a third volume aiming to collect contributions that report the current state and advancements of the mesoscale numerical weather prediction models, including air–sea–land coupled models, forecast skill improvements, the impact of physical parameterizations on forecasts, and ensemble weather modeling, as well as applications related to data assimilation techniques, nowcasting methods, hydrometeorological modeling, renewable energy resources modeling, modeling of climate change effects, etc.

Dr. Anastasios Papadopoulos
Dr. George Varlas
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • mesoscale meteorology
  • numerical weather prediction (NWP)
  • convection-permitting NWP
  • physical parameterizations
  • sensitivity numerical experiments
  • model verification and forecast skills
  • ensemble weather forecasting
  • coupled atmosphere–wave–ocean models
  • land/sea–atmosphere interactions
  • tropical-like Mediterranean cyclones
  • chained meteorological–hydrological–hydraulic modeling
  • severe local storms and flash floods
  • weather-induced wildfires
  • wind power, solar power, and hydropower forecasting
  • climate change effects on extreme weather
  • data assimilation and nowcasting
  • early warning and decision support systems

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

22 pages, 9756 KiB  
Article
Investigation of the Synoptic and Dynamical Characteristics of Cyclone Shaheen (2021) and Its Influence on the Omani Coastal Region
by Petros Katsafados, Pantelis-Manolis Saviolakis, George Varlas, Haifa Ben-Romdhane, Kosmas Pavlopoulos, Christos Spyrou and Sufian Farrah
Atmosphere 2024, 15(2), 222; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15020222 - 12 Feb 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1274
Abstract
Tropical Cyclone Shaheen (TCS), originating in the Arabian Sea on 30 September 2021, followed an east-to-west trajectory and made landfall as a category-1 cyclone in northern Oman on 3 October 2021, causing severe floods and damages before dissipating in the United Arab Emirates. [...] Read more.
Tropical Cyclone Shaheen (TCS), originating in the Arabian Sea on 30 September 2021, followed an east-to-west trajectory and made landfall as a category-1 cyclone in northern Oman on 3 October 2021, causing severe floods and damages before dissipating in the United Arab Emirates. This study aims to analyze the synoptic and dynamical conditions influencing Shaheen’s genesis and evolution. Utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data, SEVIRI-EUMETSAT imagery, and Sorbonne University Atmospheric Forecasting System (SUAFS) outputs, it was found that Shaheen manifested as a warm-core cyclone with moderate vertical wind shear within the eyewall. Distinctive features included a trajectory aligned with rising sea surface temperatures and increased specific humidity levels at 700 hPa in the Arabian Sea. As Shaheen approached the Gulf of Oman, a significant increase in rainfall rates occurred, correlated with variations in sea surface temperatures and vertical wind shear. Comparative analysis between SUAFS and ERA5 data revealed a slight northward shift in the SUAFS track and landfall. Advance warnings highlighted heavy rainfall, rough seas, and strong winds. This study provides valuable insights into the meteorological factors contributing to Shaheen’s formation and impact. Full article
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