Real Estate

This study aimed to predict residential apartment prices in Latvia and Brazil using algorithms from machine learning, fuzzy logic, and civil engineering principles, with a focus on overcoming multicollinearity challenges. To explore the market dynamics, we conducted four initial experiments in the central regions of Riga and Jelgava (Latvia), as well as São Paulo and Niterói (Brazil). Data were collected from real estate advertisements, supplemented by civil engineering inspections, and analyzed following international valuation standards. The research integrated human decision-making behavior with machine learning and the Apriori algorithm. Our methodology followed five key stages: data collection, data preparation for association rule mining, the generation of association rules, fuzzy logic analysis, and the interpretation of model accuracy. The proposed method achieved a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) that ranged from 5% to 7%, indicating strong alignment with market trends. These findings offer valuable insights for decision making in urban development, particularly in optimizing renovation priorities and promoting sustainable growth. Full article

This paper utilizes the Herfindahl Index to assess university business major student investment preferences regarding cryptocurrency. This paper seeks to determine which cryptocurrency investment options are most desirable and, more importantly, ascertain the reasons for said investments. This paper reviews the real estate-based currency of the French Revolution in order to provide historical lineage for the popularity of cryptocurrency investment today. Full article

Historical buildings deserve preservation not only for their aesthetic features but also as guardians of cultural and spiritual values. This is now acknowledged by several international law norms. Nonetheless, the legal discourse about their preservation carries a set of problematic implications because it is hard to adopt regulations that combine protection, promotion and valorisation with economic investments and market strategies and with everyday urban life. This is particularly evident with regard to immovables located within historical cities or towns whose economy depends on marketing the cultural identity, authenticity and history of the place to outsiders. This paper highlights the approach adopted by the most relevant international legal instruments which focus on the protection of what belongs to the historical city’s cultural heritage as being of crucial significance for individuals and communities in relation to their cultural identity. In this perspective, the safeguard of historical buildings can be linked to the right of access to and enjoyment of cultural heritage: a specific human right recognized under international law. The issue at stake is how to comply with principles and rules of international law while at the same time respond to the needs of modern life and economy. This paper identifies the rules and principles of international law that have gained legal relevance and can provide valid tools to states and local administrations to implement and fulfil protectionist policies for historical buildings. Full article

This study addresses the scarcity of empirical findings on the determinants of discount rates in the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method, filling a crucial gap in the existing literature and enhancing the understanding of the valuation process from the perspectives of key stakeholders. Leveraging a unique dataset comprising market transactions enriched with expert-based valuation information, the study conducts a comprehensive counterfactual analysis of the fundamental determinants influencing both appraisal-based and transaction-based discount rates. The results reveal that appraisers and investors attribute different levels of importance to object-specific, locational, and macroeconomic variables. A type-specific analysis further reveals that locational and macroeconomic variables exert a greater influence on discount rates in the residential real estate segment. In contrast, object-specific characteristics hold significantly higher importance in explaining discount rates in the commercial real estate segment. Full article

Public Housing Companies (PHCs) play an important role in the Swedish housing market, with approximately 300 companies managing circa 802,000 dwellings. The public housing sector thereby represents almost 20 percent of the total housing stock in Sweden and half of the apartments that are available for rental. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the most important factors behind the profitability in Swedish PHCs between 2010 and 2019. The effects of internal growth, age, and capital structure in the PHCs are analyzed together with the effect of the growth of the local market, as well as local rent levels. Financial information for circa 300 PHCs in Sweden was gathered from annual reports published between 2010 to 2019. The financial information was analyzed using panel data analysis methods with several explanatory variables to explain the financial performance of the PHCs. The results from the analysis indicate a highly significant and positive relationship between the annual change in population, age, and profitability in the PHC. A highly significant and negative relationship was found between the PHC internal growth, capital structure, and profitability. The results showed no significant relationship between changes in income, rent levels, and profitability in Swedish PHC. Full article

Understanding the optimal strategy for a real-estate investment and how performance changes based on characteristics is crucial for optimising the achievable return. This is prominent in touristic areas such as Paphos, Cyprus, where there is no clear distinction as to whether short- or long-term approaches are optimal. This study aimed to develop a model for predicting the optimal rental strategy whilst assessing which model performed best and which property attributes impacted its return the greatest. Short-term data were collected from AirDNA and long-term data were manually collected from real-estate agents’ websites. Furthermore, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbour, and Multiple Linear Regression models were created to predict the highest and best use for each property. Model accuracy varied between datasets, with the best-performing model for short-term properties being the Random Forest model (R-squared: 0.843), and the distance-based Multiple Linear Regression approach being the best for long-term properties (R-squared: 0.843). The study demonstrated that accurate models could be created to predict the optimal rental strategy with the number of bedrooms being the main driver for rental income, followed by luxury finishes and the presence of a pool. It was found that locational characteristics did not impact the returns significantly when assuming that the property was located within a touristic area. Full article

The Dutch housing market comprises three sectors: social-rented, private-rented, and owner-occupied. The contemporary market is marked by a shortage of supply and a large subsidised social sector. Waiting lists for social housing are growing, whereas households with incomes above the limit do not or cannot leave the social sector. Government policy and market regulations change frequently, not least for political reasons. In view of commonly recognised problems in the housing market, this article considers the ‘internal demand’ of those households that are dissatisfied with their current residence. We examine the effects of regulatory policy by means of an exploratory agent-based simulation. The results provide perspectives on how internal demand is impacted by regulations in a housing market that is suffering from a shortage, and allow decision makers to weigh the pros and cons of policy measures. Full article

In recent years, scholars have called for an increase in the usage of green features in the built environment to address climate change issues. Governments across the developed world are implementing legislation to support this increased uptake. However, little is known about how the inclusion of green features influences the rental value of residential properties located in developing countries. Data on 389 residential properties were extracted and collected from a webpage. Text mining and machine learning models were used to evaluate the impact of green features on the rental value of residential properties. The results indicated that floor area, number of bathrooms, and availability of furniture are the top three attributes affecting the rental value of residential properties. The random forest model generated better predictions when compared with other modelling techniques. It was also observed that green features are not the most common words mentioned in rental adverts for residential properties. The results suggest that green features add limited value to residential properties in South Africa. This finding suggests that there is a need for stakeholders to create and implement policies targeted at incentivising the inclusion of green features in existing and new residential properties in South Africa. Full article

Hedonic house price studies typically incorporate information about location by including either a set of dummy variables to represent individual locations called “neighborhoods” or by using a set of distance (or travel time) variables to characterize locations in terms of proximity to amenities and dis-amenities. As an alternative to these, relatively recent research advocates a latitude–longitude co-ordinate system for incorporating distance information into hedonic house price regressions. This study shows that many of the claims made in this research, particularly those referencing the elimination or diminution of “biases of coefficients of non-distance variables”, are given the particulars of the Monte Carlo experiments, not possible to investigate. We further show, both analytically and with our simulations, that there is no omitted variable bias present in their simulations because their randomly generated non-distance variable is uncorrelated with any of the other variables used in their regression models. Full article

Accuracy in property valuations is a fundamental element in the real estate market for making informed decisions and developing effective investment strategies. The complex dynamics of real estate markets, coupled with the high differentiation of properties, scarcity, and opaqueness of real estate data, underscore the importance of adopting advanced approaches to obtain accurate valuations, especially with small property samples. The objective of this study is to explore the applicability of the Maximum Entropy Principle to real estate valuations with the support of Lagrange multipliers, emphasizing how this methodology can significantly enhance valuation precision, particularly with a small real estate sample. The excellent results obtained suggest that the Maximum Entropy Principle with Lagrange multipliers can be successfully employed for real estate valuations. In the case study, the average prediction error for sales prices ranged from 5.12% to 6.91%, indicating a very high potential for its application in real estate valuations. Compared to other established methodologies, the Maximum Entropy Principle with Lagrange multipliers aims to be a valid alternative with superior advantages. Full article

This study investigates why young adults live with their parents in Sweden. As young adults’ living arrangements affect decisions about marriage, education, childbirth, and participation in the workforce, more knowledge for policymakers is crucial to implementing effective policies to support young adults and promote financial independence and well-being. Using a data set from 1998 to 2021 at the municipal level in Sweden, we used a spatial autoregressive panel data model to examine the proportion of young adults living at home and the regional disparities. The study uncovered intraregional variations that illustrate how different municipalities in Sweden exhibit different patterns of young adults living at home. Our findings reveal that economic factors such as unemployment significantly impact this pattern. Housing market dynamics, demographic factors, cultural differences, and location-specific characteristics also play an essential role in explaining this pattern. These findings suggest that the key drivers are the lack of rental housing, high unemployment rates, a high degree of urbanisation, interregional migration, and social capital (such as social cohesion and inclusion). Full article