The Effect of Climate Change on Crops and Natural Ecosystems

The Fifth IPCC Assessment Report indicates that climate change will affect crop growth and threaten the stability of food systems. Accumulated temperature, which is closely related to vegetation phenology and cropping systems, is an important indicator of heat in a region. Studying the history and future accumulated temperature changes can provide scientific reference for the change of crop phenology and cropping system, which is important for the improvement of grain production in China. Based on the MK trend test, MK abrupt change test and interpretable machine learning model, this study analyzes the spatial and temporal variation of accumulated temperature in China from 1979 to 2018, predicts its future variation based on CMIP6, and investigates the dominant influencing factors among different agricultural regions. The study found that (1) the accumulated temperature belt shows a northward shift and retreat trend toward higher altitudes, and the area of the high accumulated temperature belt increases year by year, leading to the narrowing of the area of the low accumulated temperature belt year by year, and the trend remains unchanged under the future scenario; meanwhile, the northward shift trend of the accumulated temperature belt is greatly mitigated and curbed under the SSP126 scenario. (2) The changes of accumulated temperature belt are mainly influenced by the increase of accumulated temperature duration days, and secondarily by the increase of temperature. The contribution brought by the first day of accumulated temperature from 1979 to 2018 is greater than that brought by the last day of accumulated temperature, while in the future scenario, on the contrary, changes in vegetation phenology delay should be given more attention. Full article

As global warming continues to intensify, the relationship between diurnal temperature range (DTR) and vegetation productivity continues to change over time. However, the impact of DTR changes on vegetation activities remains uncertain. Thus, further study about how DTR changes affect the physiological activities of plants is also urgently needed. In this study, we employed copula function theory to analyze the impact of DTR on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values during the spring, summer, and autumn seasons from 1982 to 2014 for various land types in the Inner Mongolia Plain (IMP), China. The results showed that the relationship between DTR and NDVI in the IMP was characterized by correlation at the upper tail and asymptotical independence at the lower tail. This demonstrated that the DTR had little effect on NDVI when they reached their minimum value. However, it has a significant impact on NDVI at its maximum values. This study provides valuable insight into the dynamic impact of monthly DTR on different land use types under climate change. Full article

The increased use of wireless technology causes a significant exposure increase for all living organisms to radio frequency electromagnetic fields (RF-EMF). This comprises bacteria, animals, and also plants. Unfortunately, our understanding of how RF-EMF influences plants and plant physiology remains inadequate. In this study, we examined the effects of RF-EMF radiation on lettuce plants (Lactuca sativa) in both indoor and outdoor environments using the frequency ranges of 1890–1900 MHz (DECT) at 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz (Wi-Fi). Under greenhouse conditions, RF-EMF exposure had only a minor impact on fast chlorophyll fluorescence kinetics and no effect on plant flowering time. In contrast, lettuce plants exposed to RF-EMF in the field showed a significant and systemic decrease in photosynthetic efficiency and accelerated flowering time compared to the control groups. Gene expression analysis revealed significant down-regulation of two stress-related genes in RF-EMF-exposed plants: violaxanthin de-epoxidase (VDE) and zeaxanthin epoxidase (ZEP). RF-EMF-exposed plants had lower Photosystem II’s maximal photochemical quantum yield (F_V/F_M) and non-photochemical quenching (NPQ) than control plants under light stress conditions. In summary, our results imply that RF-EMF might interfere with plant stress responses and reduced plant stress tolerance. Full article

Our changing climate will likely have serious implications on agriculture production through its effects on food and feed crop yield and quality, forage and livestock production, and pest dynamics, including troublesome weed control. With regards to weeds, climatic variables control many plant physiology functions that impact flowering, fruiting, and seed dormancy; therefore, an altered climate can result in a weed species composition shift within agro-ecosystems. Weed species will likely adapt to a changing climate due to their high phenotypic plasticity and vast genetic diversity. Higher temperatures and CO₂ concentrations, and altered moisture conditions, not only affect the growth of weeds, but also impact the effectiveness of herbicides in controlling weeds. Therefore, weed biology, growth characteristics, and their management are predicted to be affected greatly by changing climatic conditions. This manuscript attempted to compile the available information on general principles of weed response to changing climatic conditions, including elevated CO₂ and temperature under diverse rainfall patterns and drought. Likewise, we have also attempted to highlight the effect of soil moisture dynamics on the efficacy of various herbicides under diverse agro-ecosystems. Full article

Water and thermal resources are changing significantly because of climate change, further affecting important crops, such as grains, worldwide. Previous studies on climate change trends and their impacts on grain yield were mainly conducted on a single time scale, with few studies conducted on multiple time scales. Therefore, here, climate data and grain yield statistics from 1978–2021 in the Henan Province were used to assess how water and thermal changes impact grain yield on multiple time scales. Water and thermal variation were analyzed using the least squares method, Mann-Kendall method, and wavelet analysis method, and grain yield impacts were analyzed using gray correlation method. Results showed increasing trends for ≥0 °C and ≥10 °C accumulated temperature and precipitation, with decreased precipitation in spring. The lowest daily minimum temperature increase was 2–3 times the highest daily maximum temperature. Additionally, grain yield fluctuations were caused by climate change. Climate change affected grain yield on all time scales, fluctuating more in autumn than in summer, which was mainly due to changes in temperature followed by precipitation and extreme precipitation. This study provides a scientific basis for the maintenance of food security under climate change. Full article

Climate change will alter the site conditions for European vegetation. This is likely to shift the potential distribution of species and habitats outside its current boundaries. To enable future projections on shifts in vegetation potentials, we fitted a multiclass model to the current potential natural vegetation (PNV) of Europe using climatic predictors. The model was then applied to climate data of the time slice 2061–2080 with the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and RCP 8.5. With an accuracy of 0.78, simulations well represented the site-equivalent vegetation types of the current PNV across Europe. Projections show drastic shifts in vegetation potentials in all parts of Europe. Boreal forests could lose up to 75% of their current potential, while Mediterranean Quercus forests and steppes would double their potential area. Deserts are projected to be on the rice, and the potential of currently widespread vegetation such as Fagus forests would be translocated. These estimated alterations of European vegetation potentials could have great effects on the stability of current forests, affecting nature conservation strategies and forest management. Full article

Low temperature is a primary factor limiting the distribution of Prunus mume. In order to produce a variety that has both cold tolerance and the characteristic fragrance of true mume, previous researchers crossbred a strong-tolerance variety apricot mei, P. mume ‘DF’ (‘Dan Fenghou’) and the weak-tolerance variety of true mume, P. mume ‘BY’ (‘Beijing Yudie’). They gained an offspring variety named P. mume ‘XR’ (‘Xiang Ruibai’), but its cold tolerance is unknown at this point. Here, three varieties (XR, BY, and DF) were selected as the materials, and different low-temperature treatments were used, with temperature as the only variable. Conventional biological methods, such as ion leakage rate, different tissues, and plant viability statistics, were used, as well as an innovative use of infrared engineering and moisture monitoring for dynamic observation of the water-to-ice process in tissues. The results were as follows: DF cold tolerance was the highest, followed by XR and then BY. The LT₅₀ of XR was increased by 6 °C after five days of cold priming at 4 °C, which indicated a stronger cold acclimation ability than the parent varieties. The XR variety enhanced the antioxidant capacity by increasing SOD and POD enzyme activities during low temperature treatment, thus enhancing the cold tolerance. The antioxidant enzyme genes PmSOD3, PmPOD2, PmPOD19, and PmPOD22 had important regulatory roles in XR’s cold acclimation process. Full article

High sensitivity to climate change has been demonstrated in global maize production, especially the extreme high temperature and drought events. At present, the interactive effects of those extreme event stresses on maize growth at the grain filling stage are less well studied. In this study, a two-year field experiment was conducted to evaluate the compound effects of three stressors (high temperature, drought, and stress duration) at the filling phase on phenological period, grain filling rate, yield component, and yield of summer maize. The precipitation and temperature were controlled by using a rain-shelter systems and a warming system with infrared radiation lamps in field plots. The results indicated the significant influences of high temperature, drought stress, and the interaction on the growth and yield of summer maize. Under the individual factor of drought, compared to normal irrigation (NI), the significant decrease in grain-filling rate for mild drought (LD) and severe drought (SD) were 70.7% and 60.6%, respectively, while the decrease in grain yield for LD and SD were 80.1% and 93.6%, respectively. Under the individual factor of temperature, the consequences on grain-filling rate and grain yield were more severe at high temperature (temperature increase by 4.5 °C) than low temperature (temperature increase by 2.3 °C). The compound of high temperature and drought indicated that the grain yield increase by the compound effects of 3 °C for 5 days under normal irrigation (NIT₃D₅) and the compound effects of 3 °C for 7 days under mild drought (LDT₃D7) were 3.5% and 10.9%, respectively, compared to without temperature stress. The grain yields were reduced by the other compound effects. The preferential temperature (temperature increase by 2.3 °C) promoted maize growth under normal irrigation and mild drought, while high temperature (temperature increase by 4.5 °C) significantly inhibited maize growth under normal irrigation and heavy drought. The warming climate is favorable to maize production within certain limits, and will provide a scientific basis for agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation. Full article

We present the results of classifying plants at species level that can tolerate air pollution, provide cooling, and simultaneously survive and thrive in urban environments. For this purpose, we estimated the air pollution tolerance index (APTI) and anticipated performance index (API) of several species growing in a park located in central Bangkok, Thailand. The cooling effect was quantified by calculating the reduction in soil and air temperatures. Melaleuca quinquenervia (Cav.) S.T. Blake, Albizia saman (Jacq.) Merr., Chukrasia tabularis A. Juss. had the highest API score and were able to substantially reduce the temperature and were in a group of highly recommended species which also included other species like A. saman, C. tabularis, Tabebuia rosea (Bertol.) Bertero ex A. DC., Dalbergia cochinchinensis Pierre etc. Species from both evergreen and deciduous habitat were able to provide ambient cooling but were vulnerable to air pollution and included Elaeocarpus grandifloras Sm. and Bauhinia purpurea L. However, there were other species which had a high air pollution tolerance but failed to provide adequate cooling, such as Hopea odorata Roxb. and Millingtonia hortensis L.f. The results would be of interest to urban greenspace landscapers in such climates while selecting suitable species that can provide multiple ecosystem services ranging from air pollution tolerance to temperature reduction without reducing plant vitality. Full article

Rice (Oryza sativa L.) is the main staple food of more than 50% of the world’s population. However, global production may need to increase by more than 70% before 2050 to meet global food requirements despite increasing challenges due to environmental degradation, a changing climate, and extreme weather events. Rice production in Ecuador, mainly concentrated in lowland tropical plains, declined in recent years. In this paper, we aim to calibrate and validate Kobayashi’s ‘Very Simple Model’ (VSM) and, using downscaled corrected climate data, to quantify the potential impact of climate change on rice yields for Ecuador’s two main rice-growing provinces. The negative impact is expected to be highest (up to −67%; 2946 tons) under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, with a lower impact under RCP 2.6 (−36%; 1650 tons) yield reduction in the Guayas province. A positive impact on yield is predicted for Los Ríos Province (up to 9%; 161 tons) under RCP 8.5. These different impacts indicate the utility of fine-scale analyses using simple models to make predictions that are relevant to regional production scenarios. Our prediction of possible changes in rice productivity can help policymakers define a variety of requirements to meet the demands of a changing climate. Full article

Plant phenological variations depend largely on temperature, but they cannot be explained by temperature alone in arid and semi-arid regions. To reveal the response mechanisms of grassland phenology to climate change, the effects of temperature, moisture and light at the start (SOS), peak (POS) and end (EOS) of the growing season for Stipa krylovii (S. krylovii) in Inner Mongolian grassland was analysed from 1985–2018 with partial least squares (PLS) regression. The results showed that the SOS was significantly delayed at a rate of 5.4 d/10a (change over 10 years), while POS and EOS were insignificantly advanced, which were inconsistent with the existing understanding that climate warming advances the SOS and delays the EOS. The vapor pressure deficit (VPD) in July, maximum air temperature (T_max) in September of the previous year, diurnal temperature range (DTR) from mid-February to mid-March, and T_max from late March to mid-April of the current year were the critical factors and periods triggering the SOS, which contributed to 68.5% of the variation in the SOS. Additionally, the minimum air temperature (T_min) occurred from mid-December to late December, and precipitation (PRE) occurred from mid-June to late July for POS, which could explain 52.1% of POS variations. In addition, T_max from late August to early September influenced the EOS with an explanation of 49.3%. The results indicated that the phenological variations in S. krylovii were the result of the combined effects of climatic conditions from the previous year and the current year. Additionally, an increase in the preseason DTR delayed the SOS, and excessive summer precipitation induced an earlier POS, while warming in early autumn induced an earlier EOS, reflecting the adaptation mechanism of the perennial dense-cluster herbaceous plants in semi-arid regions to climate change. These findings could enrich the understanding of plant phenology in response to climate change. Full article

Based on Landsat TM/ETM/OLI images and MODIS NDVI time series remote sensing data from 1999 to 2015, the changes of land use/cover types (including natural forests and plantations) through NDVI trends and their relationship with meteorological factors in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (MRYR) were analyzed by supervised classification, coefficient of variation, trend analysis, rescaled range analysis, and partial correlation analysis. The results showed that, in the past 17 years, the main landscape type in the MRYR is forestland (accounting for more than 50%), and the built-up land and plantations area increased by four fifths and one fifth, respectively. The area of natural forests had been reduced by one fifth. Additionally, NDVI showed an upward trend (0.37%), especially in natural forests (0.57%). Two thirds of the natural forests had NDVI values greater than 0.80, and 89.21% of them were significantly improved. The area with an uncertain future development trend of all vegetation was more than half of the area. At the same time, partial correlation analysis with climate factors showed that relative humidity had an inhibitory effect on vegetation growth (p < 0.05). Climate factors had a certain lag effect on the growth of natural forests and plantations. Generally speaking, sunshine duration had a positive effect on forests growth, while relative humidity had a negative effect. The results showed that if the forest land was studied as a whole, many of the problems of natural forests and plantations would be ignored. The continuous decrease of natural forests and possible further degradation in the future are worthy of attention. The results could provide a reference for forest ecological protection in other areas. Full article

Drought has great negative impacts on crop growth and production. In order to select appropriate drought indices to quantify drought influences on crops to minimize the risk of drought-related crops as much as possible, climate and spring wheat yield-related data from eight sites in the Qinghai Province of China were collected for selecting better drought index between standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI, denoting meteorological drought) and soil moisture deficit index (SMDI, denoting agricultural drought) as well as the key parameters (timescale and month) in denoting drought impacts on spring wheat yields. The spring wheat yields during 1961–2018 were simulated by the DSSAT–CERES–Wheat model. Pearson correlations were used to investigate the relationship between SPEI and SMDI and between spring wheat yields and drought indices at different timescales. The results showed that: (1) SMDI reflected more consistent dry/wet conditions than SPEI when the timescales changed and (2) There were one- and two-month lags in SMDI compared to SPEI (with the higher correlation coefficients values of 0.35–0.68) during May to August and (3) May (the jointing period of spring wheat) and the two-month timescale of SMDI_0–10 (with the higher correlation coefficients values of 0.21–0.37) were key parameters denoting drought influences on spring wheat yield and (4) The correlations between the linear slopes of spring wheat yield reduction rate and linear slopes of SMDI_0–10 in May at the studied eight sites were considerable between 1961–2018 (r = 0.85). This study provides helpful references for mitigating the drought risk of spring wheat. Full article

The natural environment of crops is exposed to a complex collection of biotic and abiotic pressures. Abiotic stresses cover a diversity of environmental elements that cannot be avoided, such as temperature, drought, salinity, cold, heat, light, and water stress. Biotic stress is caused by living organisms with which plants coexist and interact. Pathogens and herbivores are examples of biotic stressors that can threaten food security and result in significant economic losses. Agricultural production systems differ in the extent of stress towards cultivated crops; agroforestry is considered to provide a protective function against environmental stress. The concept of this review was to assess the impact of environmental change and the atmospheric variability on the plants in agroforestry systems. The application of trees in field crop production has become more and more involved in practice, especially in areas with an extreme climate and unfavorable soil conditions. The main reasons for the rising interest are the effects of climate change, soil degradation, and erosion. Most of the trees are used as hedgerows or farm boundaries, or as scattered planting on the farm to control soil erosion as well as to improve farm productivity, which requires a thorough understanding of each stress element. Full article

Climate change threatens to impact wheat productivity, quality and global food security. Maintaining crop productivity under abiotic stresses such as high temperature is therefore imperative to managing the nutritional needs of a growing global population. The article covers the current knowledge on the impact of post-anthesis heat on grain yield and quality of wheat crops. The objectives of the current article were to review (1) the effect of post-anthesis heat stress events (above 30.0 °C) on wheat grain yield, (2) the effect of heat stress on both the physical and chemical quality of wheat grain during grain development, (3) identify wheat cultivars that display resilience to heat stress and (4) address gaps within the literature and provide a direction for future research. Heat stress events at the post-anthesis stage impacted wheat grain yield mostly at the grain filling stage, whilst the effect on physical and chemical quality was varied. The overall effect of post-anthesis heat on wheat yield and quality was genotype-specific. Additionally, heat tolerance mechanisms were identified that may explain variations in yield and quality data obtained between studies. Full article

The production of synthetic pesticides is energy intensive and can emit even more greenhouse gases (GHG) per kg than the production of synthetic fertilizers. However, this aspect is largely neglected when it comes to agriculture’s contribution to GHG emissions. Using official pesticide sales data from Austria from 2000 to 2019, we analyzed (i) trends in insecticide, fungicide, and herbicide use and calculated production-related GHG emissions, and (ii) the share of pesticide-related versus fertilizer-related GHG emissions in three agricultural crops with different pesticide intensities: sugar beets, apples, and grapevines. We found that between 2000 and 2019, insecticide amounts increased by 58%, fungicide amounts increased by 29%, and herbicide amounts decreased by 29%; associated GHG emissions showed similar patterns. During the same period, acreage under conventional arable crops, orchards, and vineyards decreased by an average of 19%, indicating an increase in management intensity. In intensive apple production, GHG emissions associated with pesticide production and application accounted for 51% of total GHG emissions, in viticulture 37%, and in sugar beets 12%. We have shown that GHG emissions due to pesticide production and application can be significant, especially for pesticide-intensive crops. We therefore recommend that these pesticide-derived GHG emissions should also be attributed to the agricultural sector. Full article

In recent decades, the global climate has changed significantly. The climate in Northwest China became warm-wet, especially in the Tianshan Mountains. In order to explore the response of tree growth to recent climate change, the two dominant trees species, Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey. and Larix sibirica Ledeb., were studied with the dendrochronological method in the western Tianshan Mountains (WT) and the eastern Tianshan Mountains (ET). Our results showed that: (1) The tree growth of four sample sites in the WT significantly increased in recent decades, while the trees in the three sample sites in the ET significantly decreased. (2) In the WT, except for the Manas site, the tree-ring chronologies of the other three sites were significantly positively correlated with the mean annual minimum temperature. Tree-ring chronologies in the WT, except for Bangfanggou site, were significantly positively correlated with annual precipitation. In the ET, only the tree chronology of L. sibirica in the Balikun site was significantly negatively correlated with the annual temperatures, including the mean minimum, mean and mean maximum temperature. (3) The proportion of trees with a significant upward growth trend at each site decreased from west to east, and the proportion of trees with a significant downward growth trend at each site increased from west to east along the whole Tianshan Mountains. (4) The correlation of tree-ring chronologies with the annual temperature and annual precipitation was not stable during the study period. Warm-humidification promoted the growth of trees in the WT but inhibited tree growth in the ET, which may be exacerbated drought stress in the ET where the increase in precipitation was not enough to offset the increased evapotranspiration potential caused by warming. Full article

Aquatic macrophytes are one of the important biotic components of shallow lake ecosystems. Understanding the long-term evolution of the macrophyte community is crucial for lake management. Huanggai Lake, a typical shallow lake in the middle reach of the Yangtze River, was selected as the research site for this study. Based on ²¹⁰Pb/¹³⁷Cs dating, aquatic plant macrofossils were used to reconstruct the succession of aquatic macrophytes in the past century. Our results show that the lake maintained a consistent natural state before 1940, with a relatively low abundance of aquatic plants dominated by species such as Najas minor. From 1940 to 1974, human activities gradually intensified in the lake leading to the emergence of eutrophic species such as Potamogeton maackianus, along with the increasing abundance of other emergent and floating aquatic macrophytes. Since 1974, more pollution-resistant, emergent species such as Potamogeton maackianus and Potamogeton crispus have become dominant. The abundance of aquatic macrophytes reached its maximum in the early 1990s. Combined with macrofossil succession and other multiple sedimentary proxy analyses, driving mechanisms for aquatic macrophytes are discussed. Both the nearby Liangzi Lake and Huanggai Lake share many common features of aquatic plant evolution. This study is the first of its kind to use plant macrofossils (with identifiable images) as a proxy for aquatic macrophyte succession in a shallow Yangtze lake. In absence of long-term monitoring records, this study highlights the increased application of plant macrofossils for reconstructing the vegetation dynamics and restoration of degraded lakes exposed to severe anthropogenic impacts over the past century. Full article

Karst desertification control of grasslands balances the ecological and economic benefits of ecological restoration and rural ecological animal husbandry development. In the context of global changes and intensified human activities, the fragility of grassland ecosystems under karst desertification control is becoming increasingly evident, and enhancing the ecological resilience and ecosystem services of grasslands is an issue that urgently needs to be addressed. In this paper, the CNKI literature, WOS core databases and Goolgle scholar were used as search sources, identifying 179 articles related to the study of grassland ecosystem vulnerability and ecological resilience. This research systematically reviewed the progress of grassland ecosystem vulnerability research and analyzed the relationship between grassland ecosystem services (GESs) and grassland ecosystem vulnerability and resilience. The direction of enhancing GESs in karst areas is indicated in terms of the reciprocal feedback, synergistic relationship, and mechanism of action of GESs, vulnerability, and resilience. It is also emphasized that the karst desertification area should provide an ecological foundation for the sustainable development of the regional environment around the supply-and-demand relationship of GESs, the trade-off synergy of service flow, and the enhancement of ecological resilience, thereby consolidating the effectiveness of karst desertification control, enhancing GESs, and helping rural revitalization. Full article

It is of great importance to investigate spring wheat yield affected by the climate at different latitudes in the Rice-Wheat Rotation System. Two spring wheat varieties used as the study objects were planted at two locations of different latitudes in 2017–2018 and 2018–2019. Six sowing dates were selected for planting the wheat seeds. The quantity of basic seedlings for the first sowing date was 300 × 10⁴ ha⁻¹, which was increased by 10% on each date in the following sowing proceeding. Results showed that as the latitude increased, the mean daily temperature and effective accumulated temperature decreased, the mean solar radiation and accumulated solar radiation increased; as the effective accumulated temperature decreased, the yield decreased by 0.18 t ha⁻¹ on average; and dry matter accumulation decreased by 0.6 t ha⁻¹ on average. As the sowing date was delayed, the mean daily temperature and mean daily solar radiation increased, and the effective accumulated temperature and accumulated solar radiation decreased. Due to the decrease in the accumulated solar radiation and increase in mean daily temperature, the yield decreased by 0.27 t ha⁻¹ on average and the dry matter decreased by 0.39 t ha⁻¹ on average by postponing one sowing date. The effective accumulated temperature and accumulated solar radiation were significantly positively correlated with wheat yield and dry matter accumulation, and the mean daily temperature was significantly negatively correlated with wheat yield and dry matter accumulation. The temperature productivity at a high latitude was higher than lower latitude. The radiation productivity at a high latitude was lower than lower latitude. The productivity of the temperature and radiation first increased and then decreased when the sowing time was delayed. Full article

Cultivar and sowing date selection are major factors in determining the yield potential of any crop and in any region. To explore how climate change affects these choices, this study performed a regional scale analysis using the well-validated APSIM-maize model for the Northeast China Plain (NEC) which is the leading maize (Zea mays L.) producing area in China. Results indicated that high temperature had a significantly negative effect on grain yield, while effective accumulated temperature and solar radiation had significant positive effects on grain yield and kernel number. Cloudy and rainy weather in flowering stage had significant negative effects on kernel number. Delayed sowing led to less cloudy and rainy weather during flowering and reduced the negative effect on kernel number. Higher diurnal thermal range and less precipitation during the grain-filling stage also increased the 1000-kernel weight. Delayed sowing, however, also significantly increased the risk of early senescence and frost (>80%) in middle and high latitude areas. In the middle and high latitude areas of the NEC, the grain yield of a long-season cultivar (LS) under early sowing (I) (6.2–19.9%) was significantly higher than under medium sowing (II) or late sowing (III), and higher than that of an early sown (I) short-season (SS) and medium-season cultivar (MS). In the low latitude area of the NEC, the grain yield of MS under medium sowing date (II) was higher than that under I and III, meanwhile, this was also higher than that of SS and LS. Therefore, under climate warming, LS sown earlier in high and medium latitudes and MS sown medium in low latitude were the appropriate cultivar and sowing date choices, which could mitigate the stress of high temperatures and reduce the risk of early senescence and frost. Cultivar and sowing date selection are effective measures to alleviate negative effects of climate change on maize production in the NEC, and provides valuable advice for breeders on cultivar selection, and the choice of varieties and sowing dates for farmers in actual production. Full article