Journal of Risk and Financial Management

20 pages, 302 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Capital Structure Choices in Technology Firms: Empirical Results from Polish Listed Companies

by Marcin Kedzior, Barbara Grabinska, Konrad Grabinski and Dorota Kedzior

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 221; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090221 - 22 Sep 2020

Cited by 19 | Viewed by 8951

The main aim of the paper is the identification of capital structure determinants, with a special emphasis on investments in the innovativeness of Polish New Technology-Based Firms (NTBFs). Poland is a unique country in that it is an emerging market that was also [...] Read more.

The main aim of the paper is the identification of capital structure determinants, with a special emphasis on investments in the innovativeness of Polish New Technology-Based Firms (NTBFs). Poland is a unique country in that it is an emerging market that was also promoted in 2018 to the status of a developed country. The study sample consisted of 31 companies listed in the Warsaw Stock Exchange that are classified as high-tech firms and covers the period 2014–2018. The following factors influencing the capital structure were analyzed: internal and external innovativeness and the firm’s size, liquidity, intangibility, age, profitability, and growth opportunities. The results of the research provide empirical evidence that liquidity, age, and investments in innovativeness determine capital structure, which provides an additional argument supporting the trade-off theory and the modified version of the pecking order theory. More specifically, the results suggest that companies whose process of investment in innovativeness is based on the external acquisition of technology are able to attract external financing, while the process based on internally generated innovativeness (R&D activity) deters external capital. The results are interesting for policymakers in emerging markets. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Finance, Governance, and Social Responsibility)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

20 pages, 3222 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Mapping the Scientific Research on Mass Customization Domain: A Critical Review and Bibliometric Analysis

by Gedas Baranauskas, Agota Giedrė Raišienė and Renata Korsakienė

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 220; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090220 - 21 Sep 2020

Cited by 8 | Viewed by 4283

Abstract

Researchers of the Mass Customization domain face not only challenges of proper and timeless identification of latest practical trends, but also difficulties in rational analyses on the numerous existing scientific studies in this field as well as a need for a comprehensive and [...] Read more.

Researchers of the Mass Customization domain face not only challenges of proper and timeless identification of latest practical trends, but also difficulties in rational analyses on the numerous existing scientific studies in this field as well as a need for a comprehensive and multidimensional state-of-the-art overview of the Mass Customization research domain in the last three decades. Therefore, the present research article aims to provide a critical standpoint and reveal the main research directions and content at systemic, bibliometric and historical research levels in the period of 1990–2020. Four types of bibliometric clustering techniques and a visualization of results in a format of two-dimensional maps by the VOSviewer software were applied in the analysis on 1783 scientific papers from the Clarivate Analytics Web of Science Core Collection. The analysis reveals six historical periods in the Mass Customization research domain, from which, in the last three decades, three are identified as influencing modern Mass Customization research areas and objects. Results confirmed a shift from a stand-alone scientific approach to the customization of tangible products in the manufacturing field and their risk management, to a hybrid scientific approach with a focus on the customization of non-tangible products and personalized customer behavior in online environments. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Innovation, Internationalization and Entrepreneurship)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

14 pages, 259 KiB

Open AccessArticle

The Investment Performance of Ethical Equity Funds in Malaysia

by Fadillah Mansor, M. Ishaq Bhatti, Shafiqur Rahman and Hung Quang Do

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 219; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090219 - 21 Sep 2020

Cited by 12 | Viewed by 4405

Abstract

This paper investigates the investment performance of Malaysian Islamic equity funds and a matching sample of conventional equity funds relative to their market benchmark. An integrated model is used to simultaneously capture the market timing and selectivity skills of fund managers. Our findings [...] Read more.

This paper investigates the investment performance of Malaysian Islamic equity funds and a matching sample of conventional equity funds relative to their market benchmark. An integrated model is used to simultaneously capture the market timing and selectivity skills of fund managers. Our findings indicate that the Islamic funds do not match the performance of the conventional funds in terms of selectivity skill. However, Islamic funds perform no worse than their conventional counterparts in market timing, although neither outperform the market. These findings have crucial implications not only for fund managers’ investment decisions, but also for sensitive shariah-compliant investors and risk-seeking investors of Islamic equity funds in their investment portfolio preference. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Green and Sustainable Finance)

13 pages, 324 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Women on Boards and Firm Performance: A Microeconometric Search for a Connection

by Marek Gruszczyński

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 218; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090218 - 19 Sep 2020

Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4705

Abstract

This paper discusses questions of the gender diversity of corporate boards vis-à-vis firm performance. Typically, researchers have asked if a female presence is associated with improved performance and more transparent governance. The paper’s first part reports on several econometric attempts in the quest [...] Read more.

This paper discusses questions of the gender diversity of corporate boards vis-à-vis firm performance. Typically, researchers have asked if a female presence is associated with improved performance and more transparent governance. The paper’s first part reports on several econometric attempts in the quest to prove the existence of such an association. The primary outcome is that the results vary over geographical, cultural, and time settings. The study presented in the second part examines European firms’ annual reports from 2015. Binomial models, multiple regression, and quantile regression are applied resulting in the finding that female presence on a board is not significantly related to firm performance for this sample. Together with the picture that emerged from the paper’s first part, this result leads to the possibility that the search for an association between women on boards and company performance is not fundamental. Nevertheless, modern business societies worldwide may need to boost the female presence on managerial bodies. Current econometric evidence indicates that this is not harmful to corporate results. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Finance)

21 pages, 794 KiB

Open AccessArticle

A Study on the Impact of Capitalization on the Profitability of Banks in Emerging Markets: A Case of Pakistan

by Muhammad Haris, Yong Tan, Ali Malik and Qurat Ul Ain

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 217; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090217 - 18 Sep 2020

Cited by 9 | Viewed by 4888

Abstract

A strong capitalized position of financial institutions is essential to ensure their solvency. Because of their unique nature, banks must always keep an optimum level of capital to ensure smooth banking earnings. Consequently, it is mandatory for all types of banks operating in [...] Read more.

A strong capitalized position of financial institutions is essential to ensure their solvency. Because of their unique nature, banks must always keep an optimum level of capital to ensure smooth banking earnings. Consequently, it is mandatory for all types of banks operating in Pakistan to keep a minimum amount of required capital along with capital adequacy to remain solvent and profitable. Therefore, using three measures of capitalization, i.e., the Capital Ratio (CR), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), and Minimum Capital Requirement (MCR), and four measures of profitability, i.e., Return on Avg. Assets (ROAA), Return on Avg. Equity (ROAE), Net Interest Margin (NIMAR), and Profit Margin (NMAR), this study contributes to the existing literature on the relationship between the capitalization and profitability of 29 Pakistani banks over the period of 2007–2018. The results, based on the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) system estimator technique, reported an inverted U-shaped relationship between the two capitalization measures, i.e., CR and CAR, and the four profitability measures, i.e., ROAA, ROAE, NIMAR, and NMAR. This indicates that profitability increases with an increase in capitalization up to a certain level, while beyond that level, a further increase in capitalization decreases profitability. The results also indicate that banks who maintain their MCR have higher profitability than those who do not. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Banking and the Economy)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

31 pages, 335 KiB

Open AccessArticle

The Implications of Derisking: The Case of Malta, a Small EU State

by Simon Grima, Peter J. Baldacchino, Jeremy Mercieca Abela and Jonathan V. Spiteri

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 216; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090216 - 18 Sep 2020

Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4110

Abstract

In this study, we explore the emerging derisking phenomenon by identifying and analysing the main factors that are affected by, and the implications of, the derisking process by focusing on the key drivers and implications of derisking specific to Malta. To do this, [...] Read more.

In this study, we explore the emerging derisking phenomenon by identifying and analysing the main factors that are affected by, and the implications of, the derisking process by focusing on the key drivers and implications of derisking specific to Malta. To do this, we carried out 32 interviews with individuals who have a good or excellent level of expertise in derisking and administered a survey, completed by 296 participants who were filtered to ensure their level of expertise, resulting in 285 valid participant surveys. In total, between the interviews and the survey, we had 317 valid participants. Findings showed that to maximise the effectiveness of derisking, one needs to find the right balance of adequately managing risks without extinguishing business needs. This implies a need for the regulations to be balanced and proportionate. This study is a relevant contributor to future derisking to be conducted in Malta and serves as a benchmark for further studies. Moreover, this research project accentuates the need for increased awareness, knowledge and expertise of derisking in Malta. Consequently, the provision of education to professionals is important so that such professionals are able to keep abreast with all the latest developments regarding derisking and AML/CFT (antimoney laundering and combatting the financing of terrorism). Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk and Financial Consequences)

20 pages, 589 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Corporate Governance and Firm Performance: A Comparative Analysis between Listed Family and Non-Family Firms in Japan

by Kojima Koji, Bishnu Kumar Adhikary and Le Tram

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 215; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090215 - 18 Sep 2020

Cited by 49 | Viewed by 10346

Abstract

This study aims to explore the relationship between corporate governance and financial performance of publicly listed family and non-family firms in the Japanese manufacturing industry. The study obtains data from Bloomberg over the period 2014–2018 and covers 1412 firms comprising of 861 non-family [...] Read more.

This study aims to explore the relationship between corporate governance and financial performance of publicly listed family and non-family firms in the Japanese manufacturing industry. The study obtains data from Bloomberg over the period 2014–2018 and covers 1412 firms comprising of 861 non-family and 551 family firms. Our results show that family firms outperform non-family counterparts in terms of return on assets (ROA) and Tobin’s Q when a univariate analysis is invoked. On multivariate analysis, family firms show superior performance to non-family firms with Tobin’s Q. However, family ownership negates firm performance when ROA is taken into account. Regarding the impact of governance elements on Tobin’s Q, institutional shareholding appears to be a significant and positive factor for promoting the performance of both family and non-family firms. Furthermore, board size encourages the performance of non-family firms, while such influence is not observed for family firms. In terms of ROA, foreign ownership inspires the performance of both family and non-family firms. Moreover, government ownership stimulates the performance of family firms, while board independence significantly negates the same. Besides, we find that the performance of family firms run by the founder’s descendants is superior to that of family firms run by the founder. These findings have critical policy implications for family firms in Japan. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Finance)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

16 pages, 244 KiB

Open AccessBrief Report

Capital Structure and Firm Performance in Australian Service Sector Firms: A Panel Data Analysis

by Rafiuddin Ahmed and Rafiqul Bhuyan

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 214; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090214 - 18 Sep 2020

Cited by 39 | Viewed by 8283

Abstract

Using cross-sectional panel data over eleven years (2009–2019), or 1001 firm-year observations, this study examines the relationship between capital structure and firm performance of service sector firms from Australian stock market. Unlike other studies, in this study directional causalities of all performance measures [...] Read more.

Using cross-sectional panel data over eleven years (2009–2019), or 1001 firm-year observations, this study examines the relationship between capital structure and firm performance of service sector firms from Australian stock market. Unlike other studies, in this study directional causalities of all performance measures were used to identify the cause of firm performance. The study finds that long-term debt dominates debt choices of Australian service sector companies. Although the finding is to some extent similar to trends in debt financed operations observed in companies in developed and developing countries, the finding is unexpected because the sectoral and institutional borrowing rules and regulations in Australia are different from those in other parts of the world. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Finance with Applications)

18 pages, 3316 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Autonomous Expenditure Multipliers and Gross Value Added

by Arkadiusz J. Derkacz

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 213; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090213 - 17 Sep 2020

Cited by 3 | Viewed by 4294

Abstract

The paper aims to answer two main questions. Is it possible to calculate and analyze fiscal, investment and export multipliers in the short term? The classic approach is mainly based on the input–output balances, which are most often published every 5 years. Is [...] Read more.

The paper aims to answer two main questions. Is it possible to calculate and analyze fiscal, investment and export multipliers in the short term? The classic approach is mainly based on the input–output balances, which are most often published every 5 years. Is it possible to determine the impact of autonomous expenditure on the growth rate of gross value added? Research and analysis are based primarily on the principle of aggregate demand and the main assumptions of the economic Keynesian model. In the paper, I present theoretical considerations to answer research questions. I have verified the proposed method for calculating the multipliers of autonomous expenditure and the relationship between autonomous expenditure and gross value added in empirical studies. To this end, I have chosen the three economies of the Weimar Group countries. It has emerged that the proposed method allows us to examine the growth rate of value added relative to

G D P

in the short term, while using the fiscal, investment and export multipliers mechanism. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Mathematics and Finance)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

15 pages, 1072 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Bankruptcy Prediction with the Use of Data Envelopment Analysis: An Empirical Study of Slovak Businesses

by Róbert Štefko, Jarmila Horváthová and Martina Mokrišová

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 212; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090212 - 16 Sep 2020

Cited by 17 | Viewed by 4562

Abstract

The paper deals with methods of predicting bankruptcy of a business with the aim of choosing a prediction method which will have exact results. Existing bankruptcy prediction models are a suitable tool for predicting the financial difficulties of businesses. However, such tools are [...] Read more.

The paper deals with methods of predicting bankruptcy of a business with the aim of choosing a prediction method which will have exact results. Existing bankruptcy prediction models are a suitable tool for predicting the financial difficulties of businesses. However, such tools are based on strictly defined financial indicators. Therefore, the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method has been applied, as it allows for the free choice of financial indicators. The research sample consisted of 343 businesses active in the heating industry in Slovakia. Analysed businesses have a significant relatively stable position in the given industry. The research was based on several studies which also used the DEA method to predict future financial difficulties and bankruptcies of studied businesses. The estimation accuracy of the Additive DEA model (ADD model) was compared with the Logit model to determine the reliability of the DEA method. Also, an optimal cut-off point for the ADD model and Logit model was determined. The main conclusion is that the DEA method is a suitable alternative for predicting the failure of the analysed sample of businesses. In contrast to the Logit model, its results are independent of any assumptions. The paper identified the key indicators of the future success of businesses in the analysed sample. These results can help businesses to improve their financial health and competitiveness. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Finance)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 723 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Discrete Time Ruin Probability for Takaful (Islamic Insurance) with Investment and Qard-Hasan (Benevolent Loan) Activities

by Dila Puspita, Adam Kolkiewicz and Ken Seng Tan

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 211; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090211 - 15 Sep 2020

Cited by 4 | Viewed by 4913

Abstract

The main objectives of this paper are to construct a new risk model for modelling the Hybrid-Takaful (Islamic Insurance) and to develop a computational procedure for calculating the associated ruin probability. Ruin probability is an important study in actuarial science to measure the [...] Read more.

The main objectives of this paper are to construct a new risk model for modelling the Hybrid-Takaful (Islamic Insurance) and to develop a computational procedure for calculating the associated ruin probability. Ruin probability is an important study in actuarial science to measure the level of solvency adequacy of an insurance product. The Hybrid-Takaful business model applies a Wakalah (agent based) contract for underwriting activities and Mudharabah (profit sharing) contract for investment activities. We consider the existence of qard-hasan facility provided by the operator (shareholder) as a benevolent loan for the participants’ fund in case of a deficit. This facility is a no-interest loan that will be repaid if the business generates profit in the future. For better investment management, we propose a separate investment account of the participants’ fund. We implement several numerical examples to analyze the impact of some key variables on the Takaful business model. We also find that our proposed Takaful model has a better performance than the conventional counterpart in terms of the probability of ruin. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Islamic Finance)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

21 pages, 286 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Firm Ownership and Enterprise Risk Management Implementation: Evidence from the Nordic Region

by Naciye Sekerci and Don Pagach

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 210; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090210 - 15 Sep 2020

Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3329

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether firm ownership characteristics can explain demand for Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) implementation. Specifically, we examine the relationship between the presence of large shareholders, multiple blockholders and a dual-class share structure, and ERM implementation. To [...] Read more.

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether firm ownership characteristics can explain demand for Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) implementation. Specifically, we examine the relationship between the presence of large shareholders, multiple blockholders and a dual-class share structure, and ERM implementation. To our knowledge we provide the first evidence on the effect of multiple blockholders and dual-class share structures on the implementation of ERM. ERM best practices can be considered as governance tools, used to monitor managerial discretion in risk management, ultimately reducing the agency cost of risk management. Accordingly, we analyze the demand for ERM in certain governance (e.g., ownership) settings. We use quantitative methods in our study: survey and regressions (tobit and logit models). Ownership data is hand-collected while ERM data comes from a survey conducted in the Nordic region. We find that ERM is implemented less frequently in firms where there are multiple blockholders, and where large controlling owners hold dual-class shares. These findings indicate that there is less demand for ERM’s monitoring role in firms that are associated with high agency costs. Given the increasing use of dual-class share structures, we believe further examination of ownership characteristics and corporate risk management is warranted. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Enterprise Risk Management)

16 pages, 260 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Funding Access and Innovation in Small Businesses

by Ronen Harel, Dafna Schwartz and Dan Kaufmann

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 209; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090209 - 15 Sep 2020

Cited by 4 | Viewed by 7915

Abstract

The study examined the extent to which lack of access to external funding constitutes a barrier to innovation for small businesses operating in traditional industries. The findings indicate that, these businesses do not view lack of access to funding as a barrier to [...] Read more.

The study examined the extent to which lack of access to external funding constitutes a barrier to innovation for small businesses operating in traditional industries. The findings indicate that, these businesses do not view lack of access to funding as a barrier to innovation for any of the four types of innovation: product, process, marketing, or organizational. However, for most of the innovations they promoted, the levels of innovation were relatively low, and which naturally entails relatively low risk to businesses. The findings also indicate that, there is a relationship between product and marketing levels of innovation and lack of access to external funding. The study’s contribution lies in its focus on small businesses operating in traditional industries—businesses which though, essential to economic growth, have garnered less separate attention in the innovation sphere. The study points to a vicious circle in which these businesses do not promote innovation at high levels that would advance their own competitive advantage and require external funding. Because this funding is not within their reach, they continue promoting low-level innovation, and so on and so forth. The study may practically contribute by assisting policymakers as they draw plans dedicated to supporting innovation in small businesses. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financing Responsible Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs))

17 pages, 654 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Volatility in International Stock Markets: An Empirical Study during COVID-19

by Rashmi Chaudhary, Priti Bakhshi and Hemendra Gupta

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 208; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090208 - 12 Sep 2020

Cited by 90 | Viewed by 18396

Abstract

Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency, permit us to evaluate the chances of getting a particular result. Financial analysts are frequently challenged with the assignment of diversifying assets in order to form [...] Read more.

Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency, permit us to evaluate the chances of getting a particular result. Financial analysts are frequently challenged with the assignment of diversifying assets in order to form efficient portfolios with a higher risk to reward ratio. The objective of this research is to analyze the influence of COVID-19 on the return and volatility of the stock market indices of the top 10 countries based on GDP using a widely applied econometric model—generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH). For this purpose, the daily returns of market indices from January 2019 to June 2020 were taken into consideration. The results reveal daily negative mean returns for all market indices during the COVID period (January 2020 to June 2020). Though the second quarter of the COVID period reflects a bounce back for all market indices with altered strengths, the volatility remains higher than in normal periods, signaling a bearish tendency in the market. The COVID variable, as an exogenous variance regressor in GARCH modeling, is found to be positive and significant for all market indices. Furthermore, the results confirmed the mean-reverting process for all market indices. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Economics and Finance)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

24 pages, 1980 KiB

Open AccessReview

A Systematic Review of the Influence of Internal Marketing on Service Innovation

by Soheila Raeisi, Nur Suhaili Ramli and Meng Lingjie

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 207; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090207 - 11 Sep 2020

Cited by 1 | Viewed by 5846

Abstract

This paper aims aimed to present the trends of the literature review in internal marketing and service innovation between 1990 and 2016. The significant reason to conduct this research is that significant variables of internal marketing to link with service innovation are not [...] Read more.

This paper aims aimed to present the trends of the literature review in internal marketing and service innovation between 1990 and 2016. The significant reason to conduct this research is that significant variables of internal marketing to link with service innovation are not clearly defined. This research yielded 22 systematic reviews of articles in the Scopus library and adopted a thematic analysis to analyze the data collected. This study provides provided answers to research questions by elaborating on overall trends, objectives, theoretical framework, methodologies, and potential variables that strongly connect between internal marketing and service innovation. While sample sizes are limited to this paper, it suggests suggested fruitful recommendations for future research to overcome this limitation. This research has had two practical implications for managers to redefine their roles and the relationship between members of the organization and to help managers and the firms to consider internal marketing efforts towards motivation, organizational culture, and organizational learning. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Technology and Innovation)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

19 pages, 1256 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Innovation in SMEs and Financing Mix

by Joanna Błach, Monika Wieczorek-Kosmala and Joanna Trzęsiok

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 206; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090206 - 10 Sep 2020

Cited by 12 | Viewed by 4522

Abstract

This study addresses the types of innovation activity of SMEs (Small and medium-sized enterprises) in the European Union and its association with financing decisions. The main objective is to capture the cross-country differences in the types of innovation in SMEs and then investigate [...] Read more.

This study addresses the types of innovation activity of SMEs (Small and medium-sized enterprises) in the European Union and its association with financing decisions. The main objective is to capture the cross-country differences in the types of innovation in SMEs and then investigate the relationship between the types of innovations and relevance of a given type of funding. In the empirical examinations, we use the non-parametric methods, due to the nature of the data. We have found out that there are differences in the types of innovation activity of SMEs in the cross-country dimension. We have also confirmed the contingencies between the types of innovations undertaken by SMEs in each cluster of the European countries, which suggests that various types of innovations co-exist. However, we have not found any unified pattern of correlations between the relevance of a given source of financing and a given type of innovation. Our study contributes to the ongoing debate on the different intensity of innovation activity of SMEs, as linked to the problem of the SMEs financing gap as one of the fundamental drivers of innovation. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Finance)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

13 pages, 268 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Shannon Entropy Estimation for Linear Processes

by Timothy Fortune and Hailin Sang

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 205; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090205 - 9 Sep 2020

Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2046

Abstract

In this paper, we estimate the Shannon entropy

S (f) = - E [log (f (x))]

of a one-sided linear process with probability density function

f (x)

. We employ the integral estimator [...] Read more.

In this paper, we estimate the Shannon entropy

S (f) = - E [log (f (x))]

of a one-sided linear process with probability density function

f (x)

. We employ the integral estimator

S_{n} (f)

, which utilizes the standard kernel density estimator

f_{n} (x)

of

f (x)

. We show that

S_{n} (f)

converges to

S (f)

almost surely and in

Ł^{2}

under reasonable conditions. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Nonparametric Econometric Methods and Application II)

11 pages, 457 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade on Labor Productivity Growth in Vietnam

by Hidekatsu Asada

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 204; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090204 - 9 Sep 2020

Cited by 13 | Viewed by 6620

Abstract

Among developing Asian countries that have accelerated their integration with the global economy, Vietnam has achieved remarkable economic development. Vietnam’s development strategy prioritizing the promotion of trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) resulted in the rapid transformation of its industrial structure from an [...] Read more.

Among developing Asian countries that have accelerated their integration with the global economy, Vietnam has achieved remarkable economic development. Vietnam’s development strategy prioritizing the promotion of trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) resulted in the rapid transformation of its industrial structure from an agro-based one to one led by the export-oriented manufacturing sector in the past three decades. Given the importance of labor productivity growth on the structural transformation, the study examined the effects of FDI and trade on labor productivity growth in Vietnam in the long run and short run. The study employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model of analysis using data from 1990 to 2017. The ARDL model analysis revealed that FDI, capital goods import, and export unanimously contributed to the labor productivity growth in the long run, while the impact in the short run remained ambiguous. The results confirm the theoretical framework augmenting the positive relationship that exists between FDI and trade and labor productivity growth. Vietnam’s experience is expected to provide an important lesson to other developing countries. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Foreign Direct Investment – Under the Sign of Profit or Sustainable Development?)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

20 pages, 499 KiB

Open AccessArticle

The Trade Effect of the EU’s Preference Margins and Non-Tariff Barriers

by Maria Cipollina and Federica Demaria

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 203; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090203 - 9 Sep 2020

Cited by 9 | Viewed by 5749

Abstract

Nowadays, trade negotiations afford both liberalism- and protectionism-oriented policies. Indeed, in recent decades, the developed countries have been actively engaged in negotiating many preferential agreements to integrate developing countries (DCs) into world trade and encourage their economic growth, but many of these schemes [...] Read more.

Nowadays, trade negotiations afford both liberalism- and protectionism-oriented policies. Indeed, in recent decades, the developed countries have been actively engaged in negotiating many preferential agreements to integrate developing countries (DCs) into world trade and encourage their economic growth, but many of these schemes contrast with the complex rules, often imposed on international markets, that still are an obstacle for exporters. Their presence and related costs reduce the importance of preferential trade agreements (PTAs) in increasing trade flows. This article attempts to assess the impact of preferential trade policies on trade flows controlling for different non-tariff barriers (NTBs), using a structural gravity model. The analysis uses disaggregated data, registered in the year 2017, on EU imports (defined at level HS-6 digit) from a large number of exporters (187 developed and developing countries) and also includes the intra-EU trade. Our results show robust and positive estimates for the impact of preferences on bilateral trade flows, however, higher non-tariff barriers are likely to play a role in reducing both the extensive margins of trade, and so tariff preferences alone are not sufficient to access international markets. The impact of NTBs on the intensive margin of trade is ambiguous; some measures may act as catalysts and therefore increase trade, and others may act as an additional cost of trade and thus hinder trade. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue International Trade Theory and Policy)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

25 pages, 1245 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Stochastic Volatility and GARCH: Do Squared End-of-Day Returns Provide Similar Information?

by David Edmund Allen

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 202; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090202 - 7 Sep 2020

Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3982

Abstract

The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to twenty plus years of daily data for three indices. As a benchmark, I use the realized volatility (RV) for the S&P 500, DOW JONES and STOXX50 indices, sampled [...] Read more.

The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and GARCH(1,1) models fitted to twenty plus years of daily data for three indices. As a benchmark, I use the realized volatility (RV) for the S&P 500, DOW JONES and STOXX50 indices, sampled at 5-minute intervals, taken from the Oxford Man Realised Library. Both models demonstrate comparable performance and are correlated to a similar extent with the RV estimates, when measured by OLS. However, a crude variant of Corsi’s (2009) Heterogenous Auto-Regressive (HAR) model, applied to squared demeaned daily returns on the indices, appears to predict the daily RV of the series, better than either of the two base models. The base SV model was then enhanced by adding a regression matrix including the first and second moments of the demeaned return series. Similarly, the GARCH(1,1) model was augmented by adding a vector of demeaned squared returns to the mean equation. The augmented SV model showed a marginal improvement in explanatory power. This leads to the question of whether we need either of the two standard volatility models, if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV predictor, at least in the context of the indices in the sample. The paper thus explores whether simple rules of thumb match the volatility forecasting capabilities of more sophisticated models. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Volatility Modelling and Forecasting)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 477 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Are the Current Account Imbalances on a Sustainable Path?

by Seema Narayan and Sivagowry Sriananthakumar

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 201; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090201 - 4 Sep 2020

Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3400

Abstract

This paper examines the current accounts of 16 developed and developing countries over the period 1970 to 2018. We test whether these nations satisfy their intertemporal solvency condition for external imbalances. The solvency condition in the strong form entails: (1) a cointegration, or [...] Read more.

This paper examines the current accounts of 16 developed and developing countries over the period 1970 to 2018. We test whether these nations satisfy their intertemporal solvency condition for external imbalances. The solvency condition in the strong form entails: (1) a cointegration, or a long run equilibrium, relationship between exports and imports of goods and services; and (2) an increase in imports leading to a proportional increase in exports. Our findings imply that the external imbalances are a cause of vulnerability for several nations. Bangladesh satisfies the abovementioned solvency condition—in other words, its current account is sustainable in the strong form. Australia, Ecuador, Honduras, Mexico, New Zealand, and Venezuela show weak forms of sustainability. For these six nations, the presence of a cointegration relationship between exports and imports coincides with less than proportional increases in exports with increases in imports. The current accounts of Chile and Paraguay are unsustainable—while their exports and imports are cointegrated, a growth in imports leads to a more than proportional increase in exports. For a few nations that failed the full sample (1970–2018) cointegration test, we developed sub-samples by anchoring the start date at 1970 and increasing the sample by every five years from 1999 to 2014. From the sub-samples, we find evidence of intermittent, but weak, cases of sustainability for Peru and South Africa. We show that Panama’s current account became unsustainable after 2009. China’s current account satisfied the strong form of sustainability between all sub-samples until 2014 and became unsustainable in the most recent four years (2015–2018). France, the Philippines, and the United States unequivocally failed the intertemporal solvency test in the full sample and sub-sample analyses. The cointegration tests allow for structural breaks in exports and imports. We find these breaks have strong economic significance. For instance, we find that for most countries the structural break in exports coincides with their worst economic recession. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Trade, Economic and Financial Crisis)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 433 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Developing an Explanatory Risk Management Model to Comprehend the Employees’ Intention to Leave Public Sector Organization

by Carolina Prihandinisari, Azizur Rahman and John Hicks

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 200; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090200 - 4 Sep 2020

Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3554

Abstract

This paper reviews research and theory on the important topic of labour turnover resulting from issues related to job performance and/or job satisfaction which have, in turn, been initiated by changes in work motivation. We focus on labour turnover in the public sector—a [...] Read more.

This paper reviews research and theory on the important topic of labour turnover resulting from issues related to job performance and/or job satisfaction which have, in turn, been initiated by changes in work motivation. We focus on labour turnover in the public sector—a neglected area of public administration research—and propose an explanatory model of the development of the intention to leave an organization. The model first describes the relationships between work motivation and job performance and/or job satisfaction. It then explains how changes in performance and/or satisfaction result in the formation of an intention to leave public service employment. The paper concludes by identifying key areas for future research. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Statistics and Data Analytics)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

2 pages, 141 KiB

Open AccessEditorial

Corporate Debt

by Xing (Alex) Zhou

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090199 - 4 Sep 2020

Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1962

Abstract

Traditional corporate bond pricing models have had limited success in explaining actual corporate yield spreads [...] Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Corporate Debt)

22 pages, 622 KiB

Open AccessArticle

University Endowment Committees, Modern Portfolio Theory and Performance

by Mimi Lord

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 198; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090198 - 3 Sep 2020

Cited by 1 | Viewed by 4341

Abstract

University endowments with broad portfolio diversification have been correlated with performance, but committees’ decision-making process has received relatively little attention. This study is unique in postulating that the committee’s learning commitment and open-mindedness are significant contributors to a decision process that is based [...] Read more.

University endowments with broad portfolio diversification have been correlated with performance, but committees’ decision-making process has received relatively little attention. This study is unique in postulating that the committee’s learning commitment and open-mindedness are significant contributors to a decision process that is based on the principles of Modern Portfolio Theory (or, simply, Portfolio Theory). The use of Portfolio Theory as a decision-making framework leads to greater portfolio diversification, which, in turn, leads to higher risk-adjusted returns. This study also demonstrates that greater committee expertise across multiple asset classes contributes to more diversified portfolios. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modern Portfolio Theory)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

31 pages, 1146 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Social Risks of International Labour Migration in the Context of Global Challenges

by Aleksandra Kuzior, Anna Liakisheva, Iryna Denysiuk, Halyna Oliinyk and Liudmyla Honchar

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 197; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090197 - 3 Sep 2020

Cited by 16 | Viewed by 4070

Abstract

The results of the study of migration risks of labor migrants from Ukraine are presented in this article. The purpose of the study is to find out the differences in the perception of obstacles and risks that arise in the process of work [...] Read more.

The results of the study of migration risks of labor migrants from Ukraine are presented in this article. The purpose of the study is to find out the differences in the perception of obstacles and risks that arise in the process of work abroad among experienced and potential labour migrants from Ukraine within the cognitive, behavioural, and emotional components of their intercultural competence. The study has been implemented from the standpoint of a set of analytical tools, including: the concept of the advantages of replacing the “risk/reliability” scheme with the “risk/hazard” scheme; views of risk and chance as interrelated variables that motivate people to try to explore the world and overcome obstacles; the concept of “triple individualization” in a risk society. It has been found that social risks are hidden in the imbalance of intercultural competence of experienced labor migrants and are not realized by potential labor migrants. It has been proven that the greatest social danger for labor migrants from Ukraine is the loss of components of competence and initiative. It has been established that the key points of the comparative analysis of social risks faced by labor migrants from Ukraine open up prospects for improving the methodology for studying social (and socio-cultural, in particular) risks. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mechanisms and Models of Risk Management)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

15 pages, 282 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Determining Force behind Value Premium: The Case of Financial Leverage and Operating Leverage

by Hafiz Muhammad Zia ul haq, Muhammad Sohail Shafiq, Muhammad Kashif and Saba Ameer

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 196; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090196 - 2 Sep 2020

Cited by 3 | Viewed by 3593

Abstract

The determining force behind the value premium is the matter of debate among the researchers. Some are of the opinion that the financial distress risk determines value premium whereas other theorize that value premium is basically the compensation for operating leverage (investment activity [...] Read more.

The determining force behind the value premium is the matter of debate among the researchers. Some are of the opinion that the financial distress risk determines value premium whereas other theorize that value premium is basically the compensation for operating leverage (investment activity risk). This research provides empirical evidence on this theoretical contradiction by investigating the relationships of financial leverage (FL) and operating leverage (OL) with stock returns, the book to market ratio (B/M), and systematic risk on non-financial sector firms trading at the Pakistan stock exchange (PSE). This research empirically finds significant and direct influence of operating leverage on stock returns, the book to market ratio, and systematic risk respectively. Overall findings provide support for the theoretical models which have a linked book to market effect with operating leverage. Thus, we conclude that investment activity risk seems to be the major factor that determines value premium. Full article

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

21 pages, 2411 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Portfolio Theory in Solving the Problem Structural Choice

by Oleg S. Sukharev

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 195; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090195 - 1 Sep 2020

Cited by 6 | Viewed by 3538

Abstract

The purpose of the article is to reveal the problem (and to determine the possibility of solving the structural choice problem) as one of the areas in modern portfolio theory development. The article also argues that portfolio analysis is a method of structural [...] Read more.

The purpose of the article is to reveal the problem (and to determine the possibility of solving the structural choice problem) as one of the areas in modern portfolio theory development. The article also argues that portfolio analysis is a method of structural analysis for various economic units. The research methodology is defined by the portfolio theory, optimization models implemented by the numerical gradient projection method, the empirical static method of analysis and simulation cases when the models are implemented. The research supported by the above- mentioned methodology aimed to reach the goal results in substantiating the structural choice. This choice differs from the classical portfolio choice as it is necessary to find how the investments are allocated for the portfolio units, and the same should be done for the characteristics points, where it is a challenge to apply the efficient set theorem, because different structures for the allocation of the resources, investments give the same or nearly the same combination of the expected return and total portfolio risk. Economic sectors characterized by the profitability and business risk are seen to be the portfolio units in terms of the macroeconomic approach from the portfolio theory developed by Tobin. Total income maximization model and total portfolio risk minimization demonstrate both the structural choice problem, including at the characteristic points, and choice dependence on the expansion of the resource allocated to the portfolio, and on the number of portfolio units. The analysis and model simulations enhance the efficient set theorem with the criteria for structural choice—income and risk correlation on the effective distribution curve, among other factors. A portfolio with two real sectors of the Russian economy illustrates that profitability and risk ratio determines the resource allocation between them under the income maximization model, so one sector grabs a more substantial resource. Thus, being a tool to support the structural choice, portfolio analysis gives structural diagnostics for the resource distribution, investments allocation by portfolio units. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modern Portfolio Theory)

► Show Figures

Graphical abstract

14 pages, 1105 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Assessment of Epidemiological Determinants of COVID-19 Pandemic Related to Social and Economic Factors Globally

by Mohammad Mahmudul Hassan, Md. Abul Kalam, Shahanaj Shano, Md. Raihan Khan Nayem, Md. Kaisar Rahman, Shahneaz Ali Khan and Ariful Islam

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 194; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090194 - 1 Sep 2020

Cited by 19 | Viewed by 6528

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has manifested more than a health crisis and has severely impacted on social, economic, and development crises in the world. The relationship of COVID-19 with countries’ economic and other demographic statuses is an important criterion with which to assess the [...] Read more.

The COVID-19 pandemic has manifested more than a health crisis and has severely impacted on social, economic, and development crises in the world. The relationship of COVID-19 with countries’ economic and other demographic statuses is an important criterion with which to assess the impact of this current outbreak. Based on available data from the online platform, we tested the hypotheses of a country’s economic status, population density, the median age of the population, and urbanization pattern influence on the test, attack, case fatality, and recovery rates of COVID-19. We performed correlation and multivariate multinomial regression analysis with relative risk ratio (RRR) to test the hypotheses. The correlation analysis showed that population density and test rate had a significantly negative association (r = −0.2384, p = 0.00). In contrast, the median age had a significant positive correlation with recovery rate (r = 0.4654, p = 0.00) and case fatality rate (r = 0.2847, p = 0.00). The urban population rate had a positive significant correlation with recovery rate (r = 0.1610, p = 0.04). Lower-middle-income countries had a negative significant correlation with case fatality rate (r= −0.3310, p = 0.04). The multivariate multinomial logistic regression analysis revealed that low-income countries are more likely to have an increased risk of case fatality rate (RRR = 0.986, 95% Confidence Interval; CI = 0.97−1.00, p < 0.05) and recovery rate (RRR = 0.967, 95% CI = 0.95–0.98, p = 0.00). The lower-income countries are more likely to have a higher risk in case of attack rate (RRR = 0.981, 95% CI = 0.97–0.99, p = 0.00) and recovery rate (RRR = 0.971, 95% CI = 0.96–0.98, p = 0.00). Similarly, upper middle-income countries are more likely to have higher risk in case of attack rate (RRR = 0.988, 95% CI = 0.98–1.0, p = 0.01) and recovery rate (RRR = 0.978, 95% CI = 0.97–0.99, p = 0.00). The low- and lower-middle-income countries should invest more in health care services and implement adequate COVID-19 preventive measures to reduce the risk burden. We recommend a participatory, whole-of-government and whole-of-society approach for responding to the socio-economic challenges of COVID-19 and ensuring more resilient and robust health systems to safeguard against preventable deaths and poverty by improving public health outcomes. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue COVID-19’s Risk Management and Its Impact on the Economy)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

12 pages, 222 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Survey of Green Bond Pricing and Investment Performance

by K. Thomas Liaw

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 193; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090193 - 26 Aug 2020

Cited by 27 | Viewed by 10982

Abstract

Green bonds are similar to conventional bonds but are specifically earmarked to raise money to finance climate or environmental projects. There have been anecdotes of green bonds being priced tighter than similar conventional bonds by the same issuers. Our survey of academic literature [...] Read more.

Green bonds are similar to conventional bonds but are specifically earmarked to raise money to finance climate or environmental projects. There have been anecdotes of green bonds being priced tighter than similar conventional bonds by the same issuers. Our survey of academic literature indicates that most papers show the yield of a green bond is lower than that of the equivalent conventional bond at issuance (also known as green premium or greenium). However, green bond pricing studies by Climate Bonds Initiative produce mixed results. The conflicting results are likely explained by differences in sample selections, time periods, methodologies, and the properties of the respective issuing entity and the bond. In addition, we examine investment returns from select green bond funds and green bond indexes. The assets under management of those funds are still small and they underperform their benchmark indexes. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Green and Sustainable Finance)

21 pages, 1964 KiB

Open AccessArticle

A Comprehensive Statistical Analysis of the Six Major Crypto-Currencies from August 2015 through June 2020

by Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes and André Fluminense Carneiro

J. Risk Financial Manag. 2020, 13(9), 192; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13090192 - 25 Aug 2020

Cited by 6 | Viewed by 5399

Abstract

After more than a decade of existence, crypto-currencies may now be considered an important class of assets presenting some unique appealing characteristics but also sharing some features with real financial assets. This paper provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the six most important [...] Read more.

After more than a decade of existence, crypto-currencies may now be considered an important class of assets presenting some unique appealing characteristics but also sharing some features with real financial assets. This paper provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the six most important crypto-currencies from the period 2015–2020. Using daily data we (1) showed that the returns present many of the stylized facts often observed for stock assets, (2) modeled the returns underlying distribution using a semi-parametric mixture model based on the extreme value theory, (3) showed that the returns are weakly autocorrelated and confirmed the presence of long memory as well as short memory in the GARCH volatility, (4) used an econometric approach to compute risk measures, such as the value-at-risk, the expected shortfall, and drawups, (5) found that the crypto-coins’ price trajectories do not contain speculative bubbles and that they move together maintaining the long run equilibrium, and (6) using static and dynamic D-vine pair-copula models, assessed the true dependence structure among the crypto-assets, obtaining robust copula based bivariate dynamic measures of association. The analyses indicate that the strength of dependence among the crypto-currencies has increased over the recent years in the cointegrated crypto-market. The conclusions reached will help investors to manage risk while identifying opportunities for alternative diversified and profitable investments. To complete the analysis we provide a brief discussion on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the crypto-market by including the first semester of 2020 data. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Developments in Cryptocurrency Markets: Co-movements, Spillovers and Forecasting)

► Show Figures

Figure 1

Journal Menu

Journal Browser

J. Risk Financial Manag., Volume 13, Issue 9 (September 2020) – 36 articles

Further Information

Guidelines

MDPI Initiatives

Follow MDPI